Goal Rush Saturday

Morning Team Goals

An absolute shambles of a showing from me as seen me lose all of my work just as I went to post it on the blog today. The joys, or perils, of working on the move from an iPad!

You will just need to trust me that the research has all been done as I will be honest, I simply cannot be bothered to write it all out again lol. 

The games this Saturday, there are just two that hit the criteria and further stringent research, are as below:

Barnsley v Crewe Alexandra, English Division One, 3pm UK time

Colorado Rapids v Montreal Impact, MLS, 11pm UK Time

So far the results this season have been exceptional

Over 1.5 goals 30-4

Over 2.5 goals 24-10

Goal Distribution 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 7 and 7

BTTS 25-9 to the Yes

19 home wins, 5 draws and 10 away wins

Best of luck with what you bet this weekend folks and I will be back tomorrow with a special EPL column and also over the weekend with my NFL thoughts. 

Speak soon

Jimmy

Goal Rush Sunday

Sunday Goal Rush

So after yesterday's 2-1 performance the season long stats for the Goal Rush are as below:

Over 1.5 goals 26-4
Over 2.5 goals 22-8
Goal Distribution 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6, 7 and 7
BTTS 21-9 to the Yes
18 home wins, 3 draws and 9 away wins

Today we have no fewer than four games for us to get involved in. A couple of nice odds against prices and a couple just the other side of the Even money mark.

Monaco v Rennes, France Ligue 1, 1pm kick off UK time
This is the biggest price bet of the day at a best price of around 13/10. Ninth placed Monaco have scored eight goals in their last three games so they come into this game in fine goal scoring form. Rennes currently lie third in the table following a good start to the season. They've only managed two clean sheets in eight games but thankfully they have found the net in all eight games themselves. Under 2.5 goals is 4-0 in Rennes last four games which is where this juicy price comes from. The Yes on BTTS has hit in three of those as 1-1 draws account for three of those last four games for the visitors. Give me the over 2.5 goals.


L'Orient v Bordeaux, France Ligue 1, 4pm kick off UK time
This is another French game with a price of over Even money for the over 2.5 goals as this over is priced at around 23/20. Both teams last five league games this season have seen at least two goals. Bordeaux have scored in all but one of their games this season but that game was way to Lille, a strange/boring side, who have seen just eight total goals in their nine league games this season. The last four meetings of the teams stretching back to November 2012 have seen at least two goals and at odds against for the over 2.5 goals this looks a good risk/reward play.


Gent v Club Brugge, Belgium Pro League, 130pm kick off UK time
There have been twenty nine goals in Club Brugge's nine games this season whilst agent have scored in eight of their nine league games this campaign. The last five total Pro League meetings of the teams has hit an over get whilst the last six straight League games in Gent have seen at least three goals. Give me overs here!


Zaglebie Lubin v Slask Wraclow, Poland Ekstraklasa, 230pm kick off UK time
These sides' twenty league games so far this season have seen a total of sixty four goals. The last six league matches for Lubin have seen both Yes on BTTS and over 2.5 goals. Five of the last six league games for Slask Wraclow have hit Yes on BTTS. When the sides have met since November 2012 it's been 4-2 to the overs but interestingly every game in Lubin has gone over 2.5 goals. Let's take that to continue this Sunday.


Best of luck with what you bet today and here's hoping for a 3-1 day, or better!

Speak soon
Jimmy

NFL Sunday

NFL Week Four folks and by now the form lines are definitely shaping which should present us with some good opportunities moving forward. With the updated consensus market lines let's go through the card.


Panthers @ Buccaneers +3
Tampa Bay are proving a tough out since that opening day debacle at home to Tennessee. Carolina are not a free scoring offense but their lack of weapons is outweighed by a dodgy Buccs secondary. Cam Newton should get this done but on the road I could only consider backing them Straight Up.

Eagles @ Redskins +3
Washington are another team who are fighting hard but just do not appear to have the quality required to put in consistent performance. If DeSean Jackson is back for Washington then this could help them in their run game as he does pose a deep threat. Philly wobbled their way to a victory last weekend and I think they'll just about do the same here, just!

Giants @ Bills -5.5
We are getting into dangerous territory here for Buffalo now, favouriteville. It's been many a year since the Bills were so highly rated and I want to see them deliver in this spot first before I wager my hard earned money on them. The GMen are just a few plays away from being 3-0 so I will take the points with them.

Jaguars @ Colts -8
This is a big number, bouncing between 7 and 9, for the Colts to cover but Andrew Luck (if he starts) has delivered historically in these spots in divisional games. However the Colts have been favoured in each game so far this season and are 0-3 ATS. Luck is a major injury doubt and even if he does start he sounds as if he will be limited. The Jags are a live dog but can you trust them on the road, failing that there could be plenty of garbage time if Luck does click so a big chance of a back door cover.

Texans @ Falcons -6
Atlanta are 3-0 but have been behind in the 4th quarter in each of those games. The Texans should be able to stay close enough in this game and if Arian Foster is back you can't tell me they can't win this game Straight Up. Houston should hang in there and keep it close to the very end so grab those points.

Raiders @ Bears +3
The Rrrrrrrrrraiders are favourite on the road, incredible scenes! It's not surprising though given the fire sale we have seen at Chicago this week with players traded left, right and centre! Can you really trust Oakland offered up as a favourite on the road? Yes they won last week in Cleveland but they were still classed as a dog. If Cutler is back that will help greatly for Chicago but even if he isn't John Fox may just find a way to scheme a win out of this.

Chiefs @ Bengals -4
Cincinnati won a crazy game last week on the road in Baltimore and they face the Chiefs who are on the road again on a short week. Steve Smith showed last week that you can attack this Cincinatti secondary but will Alex Smith even attempt to go after them? If forced to bet this game I'd lean to the Bengals.

Browns @ Chargers -7.5
Not sure I could ever back San Diego minus eight points in any game. However, the uncertainty in Cleveland makes it hard to support them in this game. It'll have to be their defense that wins them the game but the hot San Diego weather may just drain all of the energy out of them.

Vikings @ Broncos -6.5
This will be AP versus the Broncos as Minnesota will look to pound the ground game and keep this game tight. This tactic will suit Denver as they are happy to put it in the hands of their defense as they transition away from the Manning style shoot outs of the past.  I really like the under 43 points here.

Rams @ Cardinals -7
I said a couple of weeks ago I would not want to lay much more than a field goal with this Cardinals team. How wrong I've been as they've laid the smack down to both the Bears and 49ers in the past fortnight. Here they meet a much more organised and talented team than either of those two teams but still I lean towards them rather than taking the points.

Packers @ 49ers +7.5
This is a crazy line. Yes the Packers should win the game but they are playing on a short week  and travelling east coast to west coast. We've seen how San Fran performed as a home dog against Minnesota and if Colin Kaerpernick can be convinced not to throw the ball to the opposition they can keep this close. I also lean to the over 47.5 points in this game. Remember the problems CK7 has caused this Dom Capers defense on the ground before?

Cowboys @ Saints -3
Tony Romo travels with his Dallas Cowboys to take on Drew Brees' New Orleans Saints team..........or he was set to when the TV schedulers selected this as America's Sunday Night Football. Brees may be back but give me the Cowboys to grind it on the ground and get the road win to send New Orleans to 0-4.

Jets @ Dolphins in London Jets -1.5
This is a must win for both games even this early in the season. Despite early season thoughts to the contrary it is now fairly obvious that the Patriots will win this division so these two teams are resigned to battling for the Play Offs. The unknowns of the London trip are a concern for all bettors in this game. If pushed into a bet give me the Jets and a spot of the overs.

Lions @ Seahawks -10
This could be ugly! The Lions look a truly dishevelled organisation whilst the Seahawks are looking to get back into their divisional race. They are two games behind Arizona and know that any further slip ups will almost certainly see them being Wild Card only contenders. Loud and proud stand the twelfth man and they should win and cover here.


My selections in the SuperContest (just for fun) are going well. Three consecutive weeks of 3-2 sees me at 9-6. If only I had done that the year I actually took part in the contest as at this stage I was 4-11 and contemplating doing that freefall  jump off of the Stratosphere Tower...................without the bungee rope!

Picks this week are as follows and for a man who was all over favourites last week we want to hear some dogs bark this week:
Jaguars +9
Bears +3
Giants +5
Cowboys +3
Texans +6

The current leader is 14-1 and that's a crazy record so well done to them so far.


Please see below for an update on my season long win total bets

Season long bets
Tennessee Titans - under 5.5 wins and they are currently 1-2
Washington Redskins - under 6.5 wins and they are currently 1-2
New Orleans Saints - under 8.5 wins and they are currently 0-3
Arizona Cardinals - over 8.5 wins and they are currently 3-0
St Louis Rams - under 7.5 wins and they are currently 1-2


Whatever you bet this Sunday the very best of luck to you!

Jimmy

Goal Rush Saturday 3rd October

Goal Rush 3rd October

The leaves are turning golden brown across Europe and as the weather begins to turn I am hoping that the fortunes of the Goal Rush remain constant. A 4-1 day last Saturday has considerably helped the season long performance and interestingly home wins are hitting at a rate of 63%. Obviously twenty seven games is not a large sample size to draw any definitive conclusions from but it is a fact I feel that you should be aware of moving forward.

So far the season long stats for the Goal Rush are as below:

Over 1.5 goals 24-3
Over 2.5 goals 20-7
Goal Distribution 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6 and 7
BTTS 19-8 to the Yes
17 home wins, 3 draws and 7 away wins

This Saturday we have three games in the Goal Rush column so here we go....

Pescara v Cagliari, Serie B 2pm kick off UK Time
These sides have not met since the 2012-13 season when their three meetings, including one cup match, saw a total of eleven goals be scored. This season matches involving Cagliari have gone 5-0 to Yes on BTTS and 4-1 on the over 2.5 goals with the one under the total seeing two goals scored. Both of Pescara's home games this campaign have seen Yes on BTTS so you have to be confident they will find the net in this game too. At odds against this looks a good bet to continue the fine run of the Goal Rush on the over 2.5 goals

Sarpsborg 08 v Stromsgodset, Norwegian Eliteserien 230pm kick off UK Time
It was one apiece when the sides met back in May and going back to 2010-11 season the Yes on BTTS is 6-1 in the seven meetings of the teams. The only No was the goalless draw between the sides last October and Stromsgodset are unbeaten in those seven games. Twelve Sarpsborg home games have seen a total of thirty seven goals and there have been fifty goals in Stromsgodset's thirteen away games. With both teams' games in this spot this season averaging over three goals and historical trends suggesting both teams will score I am more than happy to take the over 2.5 goals.

Norwich v Leicester, EPL 3pm kick off UK Time
Both of these teams could be, despite Leicester's bright start, be involved in a relegation battle come the end of the season. However, at this stage of the season neither team look as if they will go into their shell when they face similar type opposition. At the moment both teams' attacking threat looks far greater than their defensive strength. Back the over 2.5 goals.


Good luck with all your bets this weekend and let's hope we extend this 20-7 run!

All the best
Jimmy

NFL Sunday

NFL Week Three

Well this season is already into Week Three and sometimes you wonder where the time goes! The Giants finally got their first win on Thursday night when they beat a Washington side who went into the game with great hope of gaining victory. That division is certainly up in the air as with Tony Romo and Dez Bryant out for a number of weeks the 2-0 Dallas Cowboys look a vulnerable divisional leader.

In the SuperContest my picks are 6-4 which would see me around mid table with three participants standing at an incredible 10-0. My picks this week are below and please remember these lines are set on a Wednesday and do not move at all:

Panthers -4.5

Seahawks -14.5

Ravens -2.5

Colts -3

Cardinals -6.5

As you will see there are some pretty square picks in there this week but I am feeling kinda square today!  Anyway moving on to the games for this weekend.

Steelers @ Rams Pk
Jeff Fisher will have his side pumped up for this and it will be interesting to see how the immobile Big Ben copes with the Rams defensive line. Lev Bell is back for Pittsburgh but he may not play all the snaps in his first game back. If I see a number south of 50 in the points total in Steeler games, 47 in this one, I will back the overs almost blindly until I lose. Hit me on the overs.


Chargers @ Vikings -2.5
This is a trap as I want to take the Vikings here! This is the second west to east coast trip in seven days for the Chargers. I’m surprised to see this point line at just 44 as I feel there will be some scoring here. The fact that Adrian Peterson may have a big game might have made the oddsmakers lower the total as the clock may be bled. Both teams should move the ball well though so give me some of the overs.


Buccaneers @ Texans -6.5
I’m not overly keen on laying the points here but Houston should win this match. The Buccs are, in my opinion, more like their first week performance against the Titans than that win last time out over the Saints. The fact that DeAndre Hopkins looks set to play in the game makes me a little less nervous about backing the home team. 


Eagles @ Jets -2
This line has swung around five points since it opened and that has all been on what your eyes have seen so far this season.  Can the Eagles really go 0-3 with the genius Chip Kelly in charge? Maybe and maybe not. I know for sure I will not be betting in this game!


Saints @ Panthers -8
The injury to Drew Brees has swung this line five points but I still like the home team. New Orleans were struggling to move the ball before Brees was ruled out and this tough Panthers defense should easily shut down the Saints’ putrid looking offense.  


Jaguars @ Patriots -13.5
Bill Belichick does not care about the spread. Bill Belichick does not care about the spread. Keep repeating this to yourself before you make a bet on either side in the match market this Sunday. The week before the bye though Bill will not ease off so give me some of the over 47.5 on the goal line as my favourite point line bet of the week.


Bengals @ Ravens -2.5
It's make or break week for the Ravens as they cannot recover from a 0-3 start in this division. I trust Baltimore in big spots to deliver so take them here favoured by less than a field goal.  Anyway, Andy Dalton is always terrible against divisional opponents!


Raiders @ Browns -3.5
McCown is back for the Browns and it seems the Brownies will look to play solid risk free football and put it on their defense. The Raiders will look to air it out a bit more with their improved offense.  What I will say to those imploring for Johnny Football is that McCown drove the Browns the full length of the field in his one drive against the Jets. How did Andrew Luck do against that same defense? A slight lean to the Browns.


Colts @ Titans +3
Home dog by three or more points is traditionally where the professionals make their money. On both sides of the ball Indianapolis are under pressure up front. It is a square pick but I trust Andrew Luck in this spot far more than Super Mario. In fact I sense a double digit victory for Indianapolis and Frank Gore to get into the end zone a couple of times.

Falcons @ Cowboys +1
The Cowboys need to put this on their offensive line and shorten this game. The big boys up front can certainly do it but the JerryDome is not a hostile environment and Matt Ryan has some weapons. Give me Atlanta and the over 44.5.


49ers @ Cardinals -6.5
The level of the 49ers is probably somewhere in between the two performances they've put in so far this season. It has to be Arizona or pass for me here and I just about trust Arians and Palmer on this line.

Bears @ Seahawks -14.5
Jimmy Clausen on the road against a Seahawks defense with Kam Chancellor back (notice how he did not come back to take on Rodgers last week? Even at this big line I lean heavily to Seattle as at 0-2 the margin and manner of victory is as important as the win itself. Cannot believe I am saying this but even -14.5 this is my favourite match market bet f the day.

Bills @ Dolphins -3
Bad weather come into this game and if it does I would trust the Bills and Rex Ryan far more than this Philbin led Dolphins team.  Seemingly you can run all over this Dolphins defense and who better to take advantage of this is than this Bills rushing offense. Bills!

Broncos @ Lions +3
Stafford is banged up and I am not sure how Detroit will move the ball against this stout Denver defense. The homely indoor surroundings of Detroit’s dome will also be to Peyton Manning’s liking but I am not sure I can trust them laying points on the road if they are reliant on their defense. Pass for me.

Chiefs @ Packers -6.5
At this line of six and a half I will pass but the money may come for the Packers and drive this number up to seven. If it does I'd be tempted to have a piece of the dog. I like the overs though in most prime time games at Lambeau at any number under 50 so with this set at 49 I will have a bit of the overs in hope of a shootout.

 Best of luck with your bets today folks!

Jimmy

Goal Rush Saturday

The Goal Rush Weekend

16-6 is where we are at as we head to the end of September. If you'd offered me that at the beginning of the season then I would have snapped your hand off. So despite coming into this weekend on the back of that loss last Sunday I think we should be happy with the showings so far. Where in this fine world are we headed this weekend I hear you ask. Well here we go and it is a BUMPER Saturday with no fewer than five bets!


Swindon v Colchester, England Division One kick off 3pm UK Time
Both matches last season finished in goal scoring draws, 1-1 in Essex and this game finished two apiece. In this spot, Swindon at home and Colchester away, there have been 30 total goals over the clubs' eight games so far this campaign as both teams are 1-1-2. Colchester have scored at least two goals in each of their last four games and both sides have kept just one clean sheet all campaign. Give me the overs to cash!

Barnsley v Gillingham, England Division One kick off 3pm UK Time 10/11
Barnsley did the double last season as a 1-0 win in Kent back in February followed up a 4-1 win for the Yorkshiremen on home soil last August. Yes on BTTS is 4-0 when Gillingham take to the road and Barnsley and the Tykes have conceded seven goals in their last four games. At this market price I do like the over 2.5 goals to land us another winner.

　

Beveren v Gent, Belgium Pro League kick off 5pm UK Time

It was 1-0 to Gent in Beveren when the sides last met but prior to that the last seven meetings of the sides have seen at least two goals, the three before that all cashing Yes on BTTS and over 2.5 goals. Games in the Belgian league are averaging 2.7 goals per game so far this season. With 18 goals having gone in during Beveren home matches so far this season take this game to revert to type and go over 2.5 goals.

KS Cracovia v Ruch Chorzow, Poland Ekstraklasa kick off 5 pm UK Time
There have been seven straight home wins when these sides have met with five cashing an over 2.5 goal bet. The sides' seven games in this spot this season have combined for 22 total goals. Each of Chorzow's away games this season has gone over and there have been at least two goals in Cracovia's home matches.

　

Bastia v Toulouse, France Ligue 1 kick off 6pm UK Time

Bastia have scored in four straight meetings of the sides but both games last season saw an under 2.5 goal ticket cash. Only one of the teams' fourteen games this season has seen less than two goals. In this spot over 2.5 goals has gone 4-2, including 3-0 in Bastia home games, yet the market price obtainable here is around the 6/4 mark. The more cautious amongst you will obviously take the over on a 2.25 line!


So far the stats for the season long stats for the Goal Rush are as below:

Over 1.5 goals 19-3
Over 2.5 goals 16-6
Goal Distribution 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6 and 7
BTTS 16-6 to the Yes
14 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins


This will be an interesting Saturday where we will further see exactly what we have here with the GoalRush 15/16.


All the best
Jimmy

Sunday Goal Rush

Sunday Goal Rush

Good morning ‘Team Goals’. Hope we are all enjoying a lazy Sunday and resting up ahead of what I am sure will be another tough work week for us all! The past five bets put forward, thankfully all winners, were priced 4/5 or greater but today we are looking at one that is a little bit shorter of a bet, currently available around the 1.67 mark on the Exchanges.

Stuttgart v Schalke , 230pm kick off UK Time

The last eight meetings of the sides have hit the over 2.5 goal mark with Yes on BTTS going 5-3. In fact over 2.5 goals is 16-3 in their last nineteen meetings since May 2006. Although it is still early in the season both sides are averaging over 2.5 goals per game with Stuttgart actually averaging over 4 goals per match. Despite losing all four games this campaign the home team have managed to find the net in each of their games. Schalke won 3-0 away to Werder Bremen and lost by the same scoreline in Wolfsburg so both of their away games this season have hit an overs bet. The Bundesliga is the highest scoring of the major high profile European domestic leagues seeing an average of 2.83 goals per game so far this season.

So far the stats for the season long stats for the Goal Rush are as below:

Over 1.5 goals 19-2
Over 2.5 goals 16-5
Goal Distribution 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 6, 6 and 7
BTTS 16-5 to the Yes
14 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins

Home wins are hitting at a rate of 66% on the above so although it is early days you have to think that any game where you can get the home team over 6/4needs to be considered. Stuttgart are priced around 17/10 for this game and Bundesliga home wins are currently hitting 43%. I am not suggesting you should back them I thought it was worth mentioning their price given the fact that they hit the criteria to score at least once and are priced nicely.

Anyway, be off with you folks and enjoy your Sunday dinner!

Best of luck with your football and NFL bets today and speak soon.

All the best

Jimmy