Saturday 17 October 2015

NFL Week Six

NFL Week Six

Redskins @ Jets -6.5
I like the Jets to keep rolling here as I am not sure how Washington move the ball here? It will be rough and tough ground and pound football from the Jets but in Decker and Marshall they have two competent receivers to help move the chains. The under 40.5 also interest me.

Cardinals @ Steelers +4
Michael Vick was terrible in the Steelers' road win in San Diego. Here they welcome a really tough defense and an Arizona offense that just keeps rolling. Arizona will make Pittsburgh one dimensional and although I'd love to take Pittsburgh plus the points at home I just can't. Take Arizona.

Chiefs @ Vikings -3.5
How do KC move the ball here? Of course they will do at times but moving it consistently enough to keep in this game may be beyond them. Minnesota should move the chains with AP and that ground game in itself will probably be enough for the Vikings to win this one. Minnesota minus the points is my favourite bet of week.

Bengals @ Bills +3
LeSean McCoy and Sammy Watkins are back to give Buffalo a different option rather than just relying on their quarterbacks scrambling ability. This is the real test for Dalton, on the road in a VERY hostile environment. I lean to the unders on the 43 point line but would rather watch this and take learning points for the future.

Bears @ Lions -3.5
At the beginning of the season this look ahead line was Detroit -5 and have the books really adjusted enough for this dreadful Detroit team? Coaching and quarterback edge to the Bears means I will be taking Chicago plus the points but it does feel like a trap!

Broncos @ Browns +4
I sooooooooo want to take the Brownies but isn't this the game where Josh McCown throws eight interceptions? Denver straight up is the only play I'd consider making but if you want to get some extra value think about coupling it up with the under 42 points.

Texans @ Jaguars -2
Good lord how were the Texans initially favoured here by a point before a slight line move. Oh yeah, Jacksonville keep finding ways to lose. The Jags are two dimensional though as they can lose low scoring games like they did in Indianapolis a fortnight ago and they can lose shootouts in Tampa last Sunday. I will take the Jags..........shoot me later!

Dolphins @ Titans -1.5
The interim head coach at Miami, I forget his name and let's be honest nobody knows his name, is talking tough and laying the smack down on his players. Ok Mr Whoever they don't care, you won't be there next year, they know that and they've all already been paid! I trust Mariota and the improving Titans to get it done in this one.

Panthers @ Seahawks -7
Should the Hawks be laying this many points to any half decent team, even at home? I will take Cam to keep it close and with two slow moving offenses slugging it out against two hard nosed defenses I will take a slice of the under 41 points.

Chargers @ Packers -10
Rodgers should slice and dice this San Diego defense travelling cross country on a short week. The only thing the Chargers have going for them is that it is a late afternoon kick off in Lambeau. Green Bay played poorly last week at home to St Louis but they still covered and won by double digits. Packers!

Ravens @ 49ers +2
What a nonsense line this is. Baltimore are poor, they get minimal pass rush and if Kaepernick gets his legs moving then he could win this game on his own for San Fran. Give me the home dog!

Patriots @ Colts -9
The FU tour of America enters Indianapolis this Sunday night. Even without 'Deflategate' the Pats have had the Colts' number for a while now. I'd only consider backing the Colts if this number got to double digits. The points line is very high, possibly shaded high because it's Luck v Brady on prime time with New England in revenge mode. I can't see though how the Colts score a lot of points so the under would appeal if not for the fact that the Pats may decide to run up the score.

Giants @ Eagles -5.5
Who will Eli throw to if Beckham and Randle are out? The line opened minus four and has edged up. This is a notoriously tough divisional game so five and a half is a lot of points to give up but back to my original point, who will Eli throw to? I shade to the Eagles.


SuperContest Selections
So far I am 16-9 through five weeks and I am delighted with the success so far of my just for fun picks (leader is 21-4). Here we go for this week with my selections as I aim to improve on my 4-1 week last Sunday.

Vikings -4
Jets -6
49ers +2.5
Eagles -4.5
Titans +2


Enjoy what should be a great slate of games, bet responsibility and best of luck
Jimmy

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