The Goal Rush is back!

Well hello there 'Team Goals'

We are back for 2016 and hopefully these defences have feasted on more turkey and Cadburys Roses than me. Actually that's not possible but you know what I mean!

So far this season our record stands as per below:

Over 0.5 goals 79-1
Over 1.5 goals 69-11
Over 2.5 goals 51-29
Over 3.5 goals 30-50
Yes on BTTS 47-33
Home wins 41 Draws 11 Away wins 28

The much reduced European programme that we see at this time of the year obviously limits the games for us to participate in. However, there were several games that met the criteria and we appear to have found two solid selections at good prices for this Saturday.


Crewe Alexandra v Coventry City @ 10/11 English Division One, 3pm Kick Off UK Time

These sides have met seven times in League One action since September 2012 and the last six of those have seen goals a plenty. Each of those six meetings have seen a Yes on BTTS and over 2.5 goals bet cash. Coventry won 3-2 when the sides met back in August and Crewe have recently gone 5-1 to Yes on BTTS in their last six league matches. The bookmakers have promotion chasing Coventry quite rightly priced as odds on favourites for this game but Crewe have scored in all but two of their twelve home matches so far this campaign. At a price of approaching Even money I see the over 2.5 goals as a very strong play here to get our 2016 Goal Rush off to a winning start.



Inverness Caledonian Thistle v Ross County @ 21/20 Scottish Premiership, 3pm Kick Off UK Time

The best available price for the over 2.5 goals opened at Even money before drifting out to 21/20 and I can't explain why.  Inverness won 2-1 when the teams met for the first time this season in Ross-shire back in October. That result continued a pattern of scoring when the teams collide as Yes on BTTS has gone 7-1 in all meetings of the sides since New Years Day 2014. In fact the very nature of the structure of Scottish Football encourages teams to meet on many more occasions than most European leagues. Thus these trends should be taken more seriously as a 7-1 record such as this is built up in two years rather than say four years within the English structure. Inverness are on an 8-0 Yes on BTTS run in the league, with over 2.5 goals going 7-1 and over 3.5 goals hitting 5-3. Given those recent trends and the trends historically when these sides meet I am perplexed as to how this price is drifting higher than its opening price. Give me some of the over 2.5 goals.



Well there we go for this week and next week hopefully there may be some more games on offer as the rest of Europe begin to wake from their Christmas slumber.

All the best and I shall be back Sunday morning for a much reduced NFL round up for what will be as always a strange final week of regular season gridiron action.

Take care and let's make the bookmakers pay in 2016
Jimmy