Sunday Goal Rush

Hello Team

Well yesterday was a disappointment. My strongest thoughts were in the Oldham v Swindon and that was the game that was postponed! At 430pm with no goals in either of the games I think we were already resigned to our fate so in the end a 0-1 and 1-1 was not the worst outcome on our overall selection process.

The season long record is obviously still good but we have to be disappointed with the recent results. I cannot put my finger on the reasons for a poorer recent performance and am putting this down to natural variance as the method of game selection and analysis has not changed. Obviously I am keeping a close eye on how things progress as I'm wary of letting things slide further but at present we will keep going with our tried and tested methods. Anyway please see below for the updated season long record and our two Sunday picks:


Season Long Record
Over 0.5 goals 106-4
Over 1.5 goals 94-16
Over 2.5 goals 64-46
Over 3.5 goals 37-73
Yes on BTTS 65-45
Home wins 52 Draws 21 Away wins 37


Mainz 05 v Darmstadt @ Evens German Bundesliga, 230pm UK Kick Off Time
It was a 3-2 win for Mainz when the sides met earlier this season so neither side will fear the other going into this game. When Mainz take on bottom third placed sides there has been goals aplenty as their eight games in this spot have seen thirty one goals. Darmstadt are dreadful in this spot as they are 0-2-7 against top third placed sides and they have conceded twenty three goals in those nine games. They have at least scored eight goals in those matches and recently away from home they have been in fine goal scoring form. They've scored nine goals in their last five away games including finding the back of the net away at Bayern Munich. I think we can trust Darmstadt to score at least once and give the fact they've conceded twice or more in seven of their last nine games give me the overs to hit here!


Vitoria Setubal v Moreirense @ 11/10 Portugese Primeira Liga, 4pm UK Kick Off Time
Mid table Vitoria Setubal host relegation threatened Moreirense for our final game of the Goal Rush weekend. Setubal won 2-0 when the sides met back in October but prior to that all of the four meetings of the teams since January 2013 have gone over 2.5 goals. Setubal scored in all of those games and have recorded 2-1 and 5-0 wins on home soil. Games involving Setubal and bottom half placed teams have seen forty one goals in just twelve games and despite their lowly league position Moreirense are averaging over a goal per game in this same spot. In fact with the visitors scoring in twelve straight league games and Yes on BTTS going 8-1 in their last nine games I see this as a good solid selection for us. Setubal have conceded in twelve straight league games and have kept just two clean sheets at home all season. Lets take the over 2.5 goals in this one to finish off our weekend!


All the best folks
Jimmy