Weekend Goal Rush

Hello folks

Hope we are all well but I have no time for niceties this week. Nice guys finish last and in recent weeks we've been last. It's time to get nasty!


Season long record
Over 0.5 goals 101-3 97.11%
Over 1.5 goals 91-13  87.5%
Over 2.5 goals 63-41  60.58%
Over 3.5 goals 37-67  35.58%
Yes on BTTS 63-41 60.58%
Home wins 51 Draws 19 Away wins 34


As the minimum price we are looking for is 1.7 (although a couple of early games this season were a tad lower than that) I have taken a conservative average of 1.78 for winning bets. That leaves us with a profit of 8.14 points for the over 2.5 goals which equates to an ROI of 7.82% which is a very respectable level of return.

Right let's hope we have some bad boy behaviour in terms of sendings off and penalties to help us get back on the right track. Four games, all with different kick off times which gives us plenty of extended entertainment.


Trabzonspor v Osmanlispor @ 21/20 Turkish Super Lig, 5pm Kick Off UK Time Saturday 
Dipping into the Turkish league has proved successful of late for us and here is the first of two such journeys this GoalRush weekend. When the teams faced off for the first time this season it was Osmanlispor who emerged 3-1 victors back in September. These sides both sit mid table in ninth and eight placed respectively and games against similar opposition have yielded a total of thirty four goals in a combined eleven games. Over 2.5 goals has gone 7-1 in Trabzonspor's last eight league games whilst Osmanlispor have scored three or more goals in three of their last four league outings.  All of this points to a number of goals being scored in this game so let's hope the number is three or more!


Troyes v L'Orient @ 7/10 French Ligue 1, 7pm Kick Off UK Time Saturday
For the late game this Saturday we head to our dear neighbours France and Ligue One is only averaging 2.43 goals this season so at first glance this price may look a little short. When the sides met back in November though it was L'Orient who ran out convincing 4-1 winners. Although the sides have not met for a few seasons both of the match ups back in the 2012-13 season went over 3.5 goals. Troyes have failed to win at home this season as their 0-6-7 home record has seen them score just eight goals. However, when L'Orient play sides in the bottom third of the table there have
been no fewer than thirty eight total goals scored. The chances of the away side keeping a clean sheet look remote and given the fact that Troyes have scored two or more goals three of their last seven and L'Orient have conceded at least two goals in eight of their last eleven games I sense this an excellent chance for a high scoring game.


Sivaspor v Antalyaspor @ 4/5 Turkish Super Lig, 1130am Kick Off UK Time Sunday
Bottom placed Sivaspor host a comfortably placed mid table Antalyaspor as they look for their third win on home soil this season. Despite being rooted at the foot of the table the home side are 2-6-2 when entertaining sides this campaign so they are no push over on home soil. Recent meetings of the sides have been jam packed full of goals as the last twelve meetings have seen at least two goals with over 2.5 goals hitting at 8-4 and Yes on BTTS going 9-3. It was one apiece earlier in the season when the teams met so I'm happy to side with their being at least one further goal and us cashing an over 2.5 ticket this Sunday lunchtime.


Udinese v Hellas Verona @ 21/20 Italian Serie A, 2pm Kick Off UK Time Sunday
Relegation threatened Udinese host rock bottom Hellas Verona this Sunday in a critical game in the Serie A survival battle. These teams are nineteenth and twentieth in the form table in this spot of playing fellow bottom third opposition and they've kept only a combined three clean sheets in those eighteen matches. Serie A is averaging 2.59 goals so far this season but recent matches between the sides have seen there share of goals as the last five league games have seen fourteen total goals and just one clean sheet. Verona have won their last two trips to this stadium, 2-1 last season and 3-1 in 2013-14, so they will no fear making this journey and they know time is beginning to run out for them as they lie seven points clear of safety. This is a winnable game for them and I expect it to be open as with Udidense keeping one clean sheet in nine and Verona one clean sheet in fifteen neither side will trust their defence!



All the best
Jimmy