Buffalo Bills (4-4) @ New York Jets (5-3) Jets -2 ½ and Total 42 ½
Sexy Rexy Ryan takes his Buffalo Bills back to his old New York team looking to put a halt towards the Todd Bowles led Jets’ march towards a Play Off spot. Gang Green know a victory tonight will go a long way to eliminating Buffalo from that same Play Off picture and send Rex home scowling rather than grinning like a Cheshire cat.
Despite being the home team it doesn’t shape up too well for the Jets coming into this game on the back of a short work week. Six time Pro Bowl centre Nick Mangold is heavily banged up but is set to start and he is a crucial component to the Jets’ ability to move the ball. Even with Mangold their offensive line of late has failed to generate much downhill push and Jacksonville shut down the Jets’ run game last Sunday. Chris Ivory carried the ball 23 times for just 25 yards on Sunday as the Jaguars stacked nine men in the box in an attempt to make them one dimensional. Ryan Fitzpatrick was able to overcome both the Jags’ tactics and a finger injury, which appears to require surgery as soon as Friday morning, to lead them to a 28-23 victory. Tonight I expect Eric Decker to be the recipient of a lot of work coming out of the slot as Fitzpatrick may need to give up on the run game if Buffalo adopt similar tactics to those of the Jags.
For Buffalo the formula will be much of the same of late as Sunday when they destroyed Miami on the ground as they will want to run the ball at a beat up Jets defense. Todd Bowles is wary of his depleted secondary so is sure to give them some added cover and will rely on Darrelle Revis taking away Sammy Watkins. If Revis is not able to put him out on the famous island then it will be a very long night for the Jets. The Jets are so injury hit that Bowles looks set to thrust former first round bust Dee Milliner straight back into the action after a spell on the short term IR. Don’t get me wrong the Bills do not have an array of explosive talent out wide but the fact that the Jets will need to commit extra resources in an attempt to stop the Buffalo run game should help out the production of Chris Hogan and Robert Woods. The mobility of Tyrod Taylor should also cause this Jets defense some issues as if Blake Bortles was able to extend plays at the weekend just think what the shifty Taylor may be able to do!
With the point line set at New York –2 ½ I do not want to participate in the Match Market but I am drawn towards a bet in the Points Market. Both teams should move the ball on each other as I believe both teams defensives are just a little over rated. Even with some gusty winds in the New York area tonight I like the over on the 42 ½ point line. The over has gone 7-3 on this point line over the last ten meetings and over in all of the last five meets in the Big Apple. For those wanting a dabble in the player markets then the 10/11 on Eric Decker over 62.5 receiving yards and the 10/11 LeSean McCoy over 80.5 all purpose yards appeal to me.
Trust the points to rack up as remember folks when you’re aching and tired it is far easier to attack than to defend!
Selection
Back over 42.5 points
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