NFL Sunday

NFL Week Four folks and by now the form lines are definitely shaping which should present us with some good opportunities moving forward. With the updated consensus market lines let's go through the card.


Panthers @ Buccaneers +3
Tampa Bay are proving a tough out since that opening day debacle at home to Tennessee. Carolina are not a free scoring offense but their lack of weapons is outweighed by a dodgy Buccs secondary. Cam Newton should get this done but on the road I could only consider backing them Straight Up.

Eagles @ Redskins +3
Washington are another team who are fighting hard but just do not appear to have the quality required to put in consistent performance. If DeSean Jackson is back for Washington then this could help them in their run game as he does pose a deep threat. Philly wobbled their way to a victory last weekend and I think they'll just about do the same here, just!

Giants @ Bills -5.5
We are getting into dangerous territory here for Buffalo now, favouriteville. It's been many a year since the Bills were so highly rated and I want to see them deliver in this spot first before I wager my hard earned money on them. The GMen are just a few plays away from being 3-0 so I will take the points with them.

Jaguars @ Colts -8
This is a big number, bouncing between 7 and 9, for the Colts to cover but Andrew Luck (if he starts) has delivered historically in these spots in divisional games. However the Colts have been favoured in each game so far this season and are 0-3 ATS. Luck is a major injury doubt and even if he does start he sounds as if he will be limited. The Jags are a live dog but can you trust them on the road, failing that there could be plenty of garbage time if Luck does click so a big chance of a back door cover.

Texans @ Falcons -6
Atlanta are 3-0 but have been behind in the 4th quarter in each of those games. The Texans should be able to stay close enough in this game and if Arian Foster is back you can't tell me they can't win this game Straight Up. Houston should hang in there and keep it close to the very end so grab those points.

Raiders @ Bears +3
The Rrrrrrrrrraiders are favourite on the road, incredible scenes! It's not surprising though given the fire sale we have seen at Chicago this week with players traded left, right and centre! Can you really trust Oakland offered up as a favourite on the road? Yes they won last week in Cleveland but they were still classed as a dog. If Cutler is back that will help greatly for Chicago but even if he isn't John Fox may just find a way to scheme a win out of this.

Chiefs @ Bengals -4
Cincinnati won a crazy game last week on the road in Baltimore and they face the Chiefs who are on the road again on a short week. Steve Smith showed last week that you can attack this Cincinatti secondary but will Alex Smith even attempt to go after them? If forced to bet this game I'd lean to the Bengals.

Browns @ Chargers -7.5
Not sure I could ever back San Diego minus eight points in any game. However, the uncertainty in Cleveland makes it hard to support them in this game. It'll have to be their defense that wins them the game but the hot San Diego weather may just drain all of the energy out of them.

Vikings @ Broncos -6.5
This will be AP versus the Broncos as Minnesota will look to pound the ground game and keep this game tight. This tactic will suit Denver as they are happy to put it in the hands of their defense as they transition away from the Manning style shoot outs of the past.  I really like the under 43 points here.

Rams @ Cardinals -7
I said a couple of weeks ago I would not want to lay much more than a field goal with this Cardinals team. How wrong I've been as they've laid the smack down to both the Bears and 49ers in the past fortnight. Here they meet a much more organised and talented team than either of those two teams but still I lean towards them rather than taking the points.

Packers @ 49ers +7.5
This is a crazy line. Yes the Packers should win the game but they are playing on a short week  and travelling east coast to west coast. We've seen how San Fran performed as a home dog against Minnesota and if Colin Kaerpernick can be convinced not to throw the ball to the opposition they can keep this close. I also lean to the over 47.5 points in this game. Remember the problems CK7 has caused this Dom Capers defense on the ground before?

Cowboys @ Saints -3
Tony Romo travels with his Dallas Cowboys to take on Drew Brees' New Orleans Saints team..........or he was set to when the TV schedulers selected this as America's Sunday Night Football. Brees may be back but give me the Cowboys to grind it on the ground and get the road win to send New Orleans to 0-4.

Jets @ Dolphins in London Jets -1.5
This is a must win for both games even this early in the season. Despite early season thoughts to the contrary it is now fairly obvious that the Patriots will win this division so these two teams are resigned to battling for the Play Offs. The unknowns of the London trip are a concern for all bettors in this game. If pushed into a bet give me the Jets and a spot of the overs.

Lions @ Seahawks -10
This could be ugly! The Lions look a truly dishevelled organisation whilst the Seahawks are looking to get back into their divisional race. They are two games behind Arizona and know that any further slip ups will almost certainly see them being Wild Card only contenders. Loud and proud stand the twelfth man and they should win and cover here.


My selections in the SuperContest (just for fun) are going well. Three consecutive weeks of 3-2 sees me at 9-6. If only I had done that the year I actually took part in the contest as at this stage I was 4-11 and contemplating doing that freefall  jump off of the Stratosphere Tower...................without the bungee rope!

Picks this week are as follows and for a man who was all over favourites last week we want to hear some dogs bark this week:
Jaguars +9
Bears +3
Giants +5
Cowboys +3
Texans +6

The current leader is 14-1 and that's a crazy record so well done to them so far.


Please see below for an update on my season long win total bets

Season long bets
Tennessee Titans - under 5.5 wins and they are currently 1-2
Washington Redskins - under 6.5 wins and they are currently 1-2
New Orleans Saints - under 8.5 wins and they are currently 0-3
Arizona Cardinals - over 8.5 wins and they are currently 3-0
St Louis Rams - under 7.5 wins and they are currently 1-2


Whatever you bet this Sunday the very best of luck to you!

Jimmy