NFL Week 7
Bills @ Jaguars -4
The line
opened minus four but was quickly bet up to minus five and a half before
ticking back on the news Tyrod Taylor does not start. The only thing I fear
here is that free and easy Rex Ryan allows his team to run riot across London
rather than using it as a season saving business trip. I do have a slight lean
to the over here at a line of forty one.
Buccaneers @ Redskins -3.5
RG3 throws an interception
and "Robert needs to make better decisions with the football." Kick
Cousins throws one and "it was a bit windy out there." Washington, as per those ridiculous comments from coach
Gruden, are in crisis time as they host a Tampa Bay team coming off of a bye.
Washington's opposition has caught on to the fact that if you negate their run
threat then eventually Kirk Cousins will throw you a bone........or an
interception. Take the extra half a point over the field goal, close your eyes
and trust Lovie Smith!
Falcons @ Titans +6.5
Marcus Mariota is out but
I'm not sure what effect his inactivity has had on the line move from four to
six and a half. Atlanta have had an extra three days to prepare for this game
and I expect them to bounce back and even laying quite a steep number on the
road I will take them to get the job done.
Saints @ Colts -4
This line looks too low to
me as I'm pretty sure that Indianapolis are better on both sides of the ball.
New Orleans have had three extra days rest following their Thursday night home
win against Atlanta and yes it's in a dome where Brees performs best but I
can't trust the Saints. Give me the home team to cover and I like the over as
Luck should pick that Saints secondary to pieces.
Vikings @ Lions +1.5
The records of the two
teams suggest that this game is priced correctly. However, I watched a lot of
the Vikings win over Kansas City last weekend and it was not convincing at all.
Teddy Bridgewater is not playing overly well and here they travel to a
divisional opponent who seem to be moving back toward the "Hey Matt, just
chuck it as far as you can to big Calvin." Take the points that are on offer.
Steelers @ Chiefs -3
So much uncertainty here
over the quarterback position for Pittsburgh. The only thing I do know is that
if Landry Jones starts on the road in the second loudest NFL venue I won’t be
taking the Steelers!
Browns @ Rams -6.5
Oh I love the Rams here.
Coming off of a bye week and hosting a Cleveland side who cannot seem to stop
the run. Manning and the Broncos allowed the Browns to hang around last Sunday
far longer than they should have. Gurley to make hay here and the Rams to win
by double digits.
Texans @ Dolphins -4.5
Big Dan Campbell is laying
the smack down in Miami and the players appear to love it. To me he seems like
a WWE character acting out the role of a NFL Headcoach but if it works for him
then fair play! I think I will pass this game completely.
Jets @ Patriots -8
How can you go against the
Patriots? Well I think I can as I'm sure that the Jets D Line will get after
Tom Brady. Running the ball I expect Chris Ivory to have some success and as I
said last week Decker and Marshall should be able to move the chains. My only
concern is that Ryan Fitzpatrick may have a tragic rather than a magic
performance here. Give me the points though as Gang Green should find a way to
keep it close.
Raiders @ Chargers -4
I'm not quite sure what to
make of this game bar the fact I expect there to be a lot of points. San Diego
have zero running game and they know that their best option is just to let
Rivers wing it and sling it!
Cowboys @ Giants -3.5
The GMen were
pathetic in their Monday Night Football on the road to Philadelphia. Here they host
another divisional foe in the shape of the Cowboys who may have Dez Bryant
back. I doubt it but even if they do they will still have Matt Casell throwing
him the ball, or trying to! The point line opened up at 48 but has been drilled
down to 45.5 and I sense there could be a little bit of value now on the over.
We know the Cowboys revel in this underdog spot but I just can't back them
here. A pass for me.
Eagles @ Panthers -3
I've liked
what I've seen from the Eagles in the past two weeks but I'm still convinced
Mark Sanchez would run this offense better than Sam Bradford does. Cam Newton
is a phenomenal footballer and maybe in time the rest of the universe will
catch up with my thinking. In this spot I sense the value is with backing the
Eagles straight up. I'm not sure I could bet it but that's where the value
lies.
Ravens @ Cardinals -8.5
This weekends NFL card is
like my dinner as I always save the best for last. This Monday Night
Football could be a complete blow out as the Ravens have zero pass defense.
Carson Palmer and Larry Fitzgerald are turning back the clock to 2008 and I'm
sure Bruce Arians will have a plan to limit the 'Flacco to Smith' Raven game
plan. It opened at minus six and a half and has escalated up through the
touchdown. I still like the Cardinals at any level up to and including minus
nine and a half.
Cardinals -7.5
Rams -5.5
Lions +2.5
Falcons -4.5Colts -4.5
Jimmy
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