Goal Rush Weekend

Goal Rush Weekend

Hello all and welcome to the next chapter of the Goal Rush as we look to keep going on this 8-0 tear up that we are currently on! Please be aware we have an early start this Friday night……..

Over 0.5 goals 68-0

Over 1.5 goals 60-8

Over 2.5 goals 44-24

Over 3.5 goals 26-42

Yes on BTTS 42-26

Home wins 33 Draws 10 Away wins 25

I have had a few people contact me with regards to the over 0.5 goals run that this column has produced. Some of you are betting one goal or more in the game rather than the over 2.5 goals and this has so far, I say so far, proved faultless! Before commission a £10 starting bank staked on all selections with winnings rolled over would have turned into £143.97 (assuming an average price of 1.04). As many of the games overlap or run concurrently this would not have been strictly possible but it is worth taking into consideration.

Friday Game

Galatasaray v Bursaspor @ 8/13 (opened 4/5)  Turkish Super League, 6pm UK Kick Off time

The most famous name in Turkish football, well at least to us Brits anyway, are the pick this Friday night to try and kick us off this weekend! The last four meetings of these two teams at Galatasaray have all gone over 2.5 goals as scorelines of 2-1, 3-2, 6-0 and 2-2 have seen an overs ticket cash. Galatasaray currently lie in fourth spot whilst the visitors are thirteenth in this eighteen team division. When the hosts take on bottom half opposition there have been twenty seven goals in the seven games with Yes on BTTS going 6-1 so Bursaspor should be able to find a way to score in this game. Both the over and Yes on BTTS have gone 9-3 in the teams twelve combined home/away games so far this campaign. There is a huge trend towards both teams scoring in this match so I will take the over 2.5 goals to cash.

Saturday Games

Freiburg v Union Berlin @ 13/17 German Bundesliga 2, Midday UK Kick Off time

Table topping Freiburg host thirteenth placed Union Berlin in what sets up to be a very high scoring game this Saturday lunchtime. There have been no fewer than 110 goals in the teams’ combined thirty two games so far this season, an average approaching 3 ½ goals per outing. Splitting it down even further to home/road splits and there have been 62 goals in the sides’ fifteen games in this spot (Union have only played seven on the road), over four goals per game. For a team that top the league Freiburg are a defensive nightmare as they have kept just one clean sheet on home soil this season and in six of their other seven home games they have conceded at least twice! Here they welcome a Union Berlin side who have scored in eleven of their last twelve league games. I really like the over to kick start our weekend Goal Rush!

Brentford v MK Dons @ 11/12 English Championship, 3pm UK Kick Off time

A new era begins at Griffin Park for Brentford as new head coach Dean Smith takes over at the helm of the West London club. The sides have met six times since New Years Eve 2011 and over 2.5 goals has gone 5-1 in those meetings with a total of twenty four goals flying in. Brentford are just 4-1-4 on home soil and given the fact they have already conceded fourteen goals on home soil the visitors will travel knowing they have a great chance to get something from this fixture. Over 2.5 goals is 6-3 at Griffin Park so far this season so at the current market price this looks a decent risk/reward play to the over 2.5 goals.

Waasland-Beveren v Standard Liege @ 6/7  Belgian Jupiler League, 730pm UK Kick Off time

The sides have met seven times since August 2012 and over 2.5 goals has gone just 3-4 in these match ups and all three games in Beveren have gone under 2.5 goals. So why this game you may be wondering given those historical trends? The Belgian League has produced goals a plenty this season as they average 2.81 goals per game. Games involving Beveren average 3.41 gpg and Standard Liege average 3.18 with a total of 112 goals in 34 total games, 23-11 to the overs. There is a huge trend this season to both teams conceding in this game so at this market price I will take a piece of the over 2.5 goals as could the worst case scenario be a 1-1 draw?

Will the train keep rolling down the track or will we get de-railed? I want to win every bet I ever make for both myself and for you but we must realise that despite this great run that trees do not grow to the sky so be responsible with your betting.

Have a great weekend folks, don’t forget to listen to the EPL podcast with myself and @petenordsted http://www.petenordsted.com/premier-league-betting-podcast-week-15/ and to look out for my EPL snapshot thoughts for the main Las Vegas insider @ToddFuhrman on his www.toddstake.com site

Good luck and all the best

Jimmy