NFL Week 16
The last ‘real’
Sunday of the regular season is upon us. Some really attractive looking games
and some real stinkers!
Giants @ Vikings -7 Without
OBJ how can this Giants move the ball effectively? It will be hard against this
Vikings defense and they play a second home game in a week after they beat me
down last week against the Bears. Home side or pass for me and I think I will
pass. The under 45 points does appeal to me slightly though as I’m sure AP will
run and run all day here and grind the clock.
Bears @ Buccaneers -3 ½ Even though the Buccs have flopped of late I was
slightly surprised to see the line originaly set at just three. Some money has
come in for Tampa Bay and the line has shifted upward an extra half point. The
Buccs have had extra time to prepare for this game and the Bears come into this
game on the back of that disappointing loss on the road to the Vikings. I
thought this would be maybe Tampa Bay minus four and a half or five so I have
to lean to the home team but it’s not a strong feel. Over 46 points offers a
little bit of interest to me but not that much that I will shout from the
rooftops!
Panthers @ Falcons -6 ½ I cannot see the Panthers slipping up here but
laying the original line of seven points would made me stop for breathe.
Divisional game, in the dome………………I’m still taking Carolina as I sense this
team is headed for the record books as the most under rated team in history.
Cowboys @ Bills -6 I cannot
back the Cowboys but can you lay six points with Buffalo? If the weather is as inclement
as it is forecast to be then I will take the Bills defense to win the game and
cover against this Kellen Moore led offense. Rain and strong cross winds should
make it almost impossible for Moore and the Boys to win! Give me the under 42.
Jaguars @ Saints +3 Love the
Jags in this spot against a very banged up Saints side who are likely to have
no Drew Brees and if he does play he will be severely limited. Give me the Jags
at any price up to a field goal favourite.
49ers @ Lions -10 How can
anyone back Detroit minus ten points? How can anyone back San Fran plus ten
points? In a game where there is no requirement to play defense then I will
take a piece of the over forty three points.
Browns @ Chiefs -10 ½ There
will be a loud welcome to Arrowhead Stadium for Johnny Manziel as he leads his
Browns into Kansas City to be the next team who stands in the way of this all
conquering Chiefs team. From a 1-5 start they have rallied to go 8-0 and have
their season in their own hands. The money has come in for the dog though as
the line has trended down from KC minus 12 to just 10 ½ but I am staying well
clear of this game.
Colts @ Dolphins -2 ½ Have
Indianapolis even got a quarterback on their roster at present who can walk? I
expect this game to be played in front of a one third full Sun Life Stadium.
When you live in Miami you have so many better things to do than go and sit
down for three hours and watch a dreadful football team. If you want to watch
some decent football then head down to South Beach and watch some festive flag
football. Pass!
Patriots @ Jets +3 A Yuge
Yuge game for the Newah Jorker Jets. I quite like them in this spot against the
Patriots here but I would love an extra half point. I expect the Pats to spread
New York out but it would not surprise me if new recruit Steven Jackson didn’t
get a few carries to acclimate himself in the system. A tricky call and one I
will leave to cleverer men than myself.
Texans @ Titans +3 ½ The QB matchup we all want to see, Weeden v
Mettenberger. Give me the Texans on the
road to get the job done and continue their march to the divisional title!
Packers @ Cardinals -4 Money
comes each week for the Packers no matter what the spot and whomever the
opponent. I am sure there will be a lot of money on the over 50 ½ points but I
am not convinced that Green Bay will move the ball effectively. I would have to
side with the home favourite but fear the need of the road dog. In truth a pass
for me.
Rams @ Seahawks -12 ½ I gave the Browns more chance of covering last week
than I do St Louis here. Seattle are rolling and I do not see the momentum
ending here. St Louis have no aerial threat against the better pass defenses in
the league.
Steelers @ Ravens +10 It
appears it is Mallet time in Baltimore as Baltimore look to set to evaluate his
potential. Is there ever a case to be made for backing the train wreck that is
Ryan Mallet? Maybe Pittsburgh will get up in the game, rest their starters and
Mallet leads Baltimore to a back door cover? That is probably your only hope
for a Ravens bet this Sunday.
Bengals @ Broncos -3 ½ Both teams need this game but it’s the home team
who need the victory most as they may even fall out of the play off race due to
a resurgent Kansas City outfit. Taking AJ McCarron on the road against an elite
defense is not a position I want to find myself in. Broncos all the way for me.
#SuperContest
Picks for Week 16
Broncos
-3.5
Jaguars
-2.5
Panthers
-6.5
Seahawks
-13.5
Texans -4
*My Super
Contest picks at this stage of the season are based very much on siding with
teams who still have things to play for. Either sides striving for play off
places or those aiming to maintain momentum if they get in to the dance*
Next week
I will sum up by Season Long Bets for both Divisional Championships and my
under/over season win totals.
Enjoy the
games tonight and best of luck with all your bets!
Jimmy
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