Thursday 29 October 2015

Halloween Ghoul Rush

Saturday 31st October Ghoul Rush

Welcome to this weeks Ghoul Rush. Did you see what I've done there for this Halloween's games? I'm not normally a comic genius don't worry!

Last weekend saw an impressive 5-1 return from our selected six games and Sunday saw a 3-0 clean sweep. Even the historically boring, although it's got better of late, Serie A obliged us with two Sunday wins. The data sample is really beginning to grow in size and although the criteria highlights many games the extra analysis does seem to help weed out the weaker selections. Please see below for the full stats so far this campaign:

Over 0.5 goals 46-0
Over 1.5 goals 40-6
Over 2.5 goals 31-15
Over 3.5 goals 17-29
Yes on BTTS 31-15
Home wins 22 Draws 7 Away wins 17

This weekend there are some games that are perhaps a tad shorter in price than I really would like to suggest. However, there is a dearth of games this weekend that both fit the criteria and also pass the extra deeper analysis check.

Where in the world then are we off to this Saturday?


Orebro v AIK Stockholm @11/17 Swedish Allsvenskan, 2pm Kick Off UK Time
Mid table Orebro have a job on their hands in this game as they entertain title challengers AIK Stockholm. The visitors lie just three points off of the top spot but need to bounce back after last weeks defeat at home to fellow title challengers IFK. The last six meetings of the sides have seen at least two goals scored with over 2.5 goals going 5-1 in this stretch. With Orebro scoring in nine straight games, overs going 7-2, if the away team are to win this game then it would appear that they will need to score at least twice. Despite losing last season in this spot AIK have scored two goals in each of their last three visits to Orebro so give me the over 2.5 goals to land here.


Derby v Rotherham @4/5 English Championship, 3pm Kick Off UK Time
Fifth placed Derby host the Millers as Rotherham look for a win to help them climb out of the relegation zone. Despite being down in the drop zone Rotherham have not struggled to find the net on a consistent basis as they have scored in ten straight league games and in twelve of their thirteen Championship matches this season. The Rams have scored at least twice in four of their last five league games after some early season struggles in front of goal. When the sides met last season it was a 1-0 win for Derby back in August but I put forward there that the adrenalin was flowing through the newly promoted Rotherham side. The return meeting in February at the New York Stadium saw a pulsating 3-3 draw and I see more goals here. Take the over 2.5 goals.


Grasshoppers v Thun @9/13 Swiss Super League, 445pm Kick Off UK Time
These two sides have played twenty six league games so far this campaign. There have been an incredible one hundred and two total goals in those matches. One hundred and two! When the teams have met since September 2013 the over 2.5 goals is 7-2 and although this games finished goalless back in April prior to that the Yes on BTTS had cashed in six of the previous seven meetings and over 2.5 goals also went 6-1. Including that goalless draw the last seven meets have seen a total of thirty one goals. To me that 0-0 is the outlier that gives us the excellent value we have at this market price.

These are shorter prices this Saturday than usual but I think if you're patience on the exchanges you will get at least the 1.7 that we are ideally looking for on our selections. Let's look to at least a 2-1 Saturday and fingers crossed we hit a hat trick.


I will be back with more for you Saturday evening as we head into November. Please also look out for my NFL thoughts blog and the usual ramblings on the Premiership Betting podcast with the legend that is @petenordsted . Links for all of my content will be sent out in the usual manner!

All the best with your betting this weekend.

Jimmy



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