NFL Week 13
Hello
folks! We are closing in on the final weeks of the regular season. Although the
main meat of the NFL season is still ahead of us I have to say I enjoy the
betting aspect of the schedule far more in these weeks. SuperContest picks are
still doing well as I am 37-23 for the season and feel fairly good about them
this week as well!
Falcons @ Buccaneers -1 This game
opened a pick and money came in for the Buccs. I'm interested to see how Tampa
Bay handle this sudden prosperity especially after a coming off of a thirteen
point loss on the road to the Matt Hasselbeck led Colts. I lean to the Falcons
here.
Texans @ Bills -3.5
Buffalo need this game else you
can all but write them out of the AFC Play Off picture. For a limited offense
the last team you want to see coming into your house is the hottest defense in
football. JJ Watt and the boys are playing at such a high level so this will be
no easy game for the Bills. Getting over the field goal on the line is big for
me, Bills!
Ravens @ Dolphins -3.5 Baltimore
won on MNF but they should have lost.............to the Browns! Dan Campbell is
fighting for his head coaching career as if he doesn't get this gig he won't
get another! Give me one final effort for this season from Miami against this
banged up Ravens before they start packing their suitcases for their
holidays.
Bengals @ Browns +9
Only the Browns could lose a
football match the way they did on MNF. Josh McCown is out for the season with
injury so who will be under centre for Cleveland? It’s Austin Davis time and to
be fair he looked ok at the end of the Monday game. The Bengals are rolling but
this is a Divisional Game between the two Ohio rivals. Give me the Brownies!
Jets @ Giants +2
Remember the last time they played when it was Christmas
Eve and Victor Cruz salsa danced his way for 99 yards? Another game which
opened a Pick but soon drew Green on Gang Green. The Jets need this game more
than the GMen in terms of the Play Off race but Big Blue have a tough run into
the end of the season. In a coin flip game I will take the more all rounded
Jets to get it done and avenge the Cruz celebration but I won't be betting this
one.
49ers @ Bears -7
In December Chicago are favoured
at home by seven points. If you'd have said that at the beginning of the season
everybody would have imagined you were talking about the Bulls of the Windy
City, not the Bears! Chicago but only straight up for me as I can't have them
laying this many points to anybody. Not even the poor Niners travelling west to
east for an early kick off. Give me San Fran for small stakes.
Seahawks @ Vikings +2 This is
the time of year when the big players in the league stand up and be counted.
Russell Wilson is one of those players and it is his time of year to shine so
even after the loss of Jimmy Graham through injury I see them having a strong
end to the regular season. Give me the Seahawks straight up to take another
important step towards securing an NFC Play Off berth.
Cardinals @ Rams +4.5 Little
bit of money on the under has pushed this points line down one and half from
the open to 43 points. The common perception is that St Louis will not be able
to move ball at all in this game but I'm not so sure. I sense Todd Gurley may
have some success here so will be avoiding this game completely. I lean to
the over especially after that small move down.
Jaguars @ Titans -2.5 Bet this
game at your own risk people. Jacksonville lost at home last Sunday to the
pitiful Chargers whilst Tennessee have not won any of their last eleven home
games. If you want to bet this game, please do it with someone else's
money!
Broncos @ Chargers -4 It opened
Denver minus a field goal but bettors seemed lock in on Brock Osweiler after
SNF. There is no home field advantage in San Diego so expect to see a huge
influx of Broncos fans excited to see this new Osweiler era. There will be more
tape on him available so it won't all be rosy in Brock's garden but I will take
Denver minus the points here.
Chiefs @ Raiders +3
Dropping to 5-7 would not make it
insurmountable for Oakland to get into the end of season dance but a loss here
to the Chiefs, given their record, would make it very difficult. Another game I’ve
no real feel on but if pushed give me the home dog straight up as the Black
Hole should be an intimidating place for this KC team this Sunday.
Eagles @ Patriots -8.5 We've
always wondered how valuable Rob Gronkowski is to New England. This line opened
at minus thirteen so the value of the big man to the Patriots is well over a
field goal. Philly will sense an opportunity here and if Chip Kelly, and it's a
big IF, allows DeMarco Murray to run north to south then they have a chance. If
I was betting this game I would take the Eagles to at least have a chance of a late
back door cover. Can they win straight up? That is a different story so those
looking to oppose the Pats may want to keep their powder dry until next weeks
big test for them.
Panthers @ Saints +6.5 Carolina
are 11-0 and for a non description franchise such as the Panthers the verge of
historical greatness is upon them. Other teams at this record with more storied
histories may start to take their foot off of the gas but not these Panthers.
Until they lose they will give you every ounce of blood, sweat and tears they
have in their body. I won't lay the points on the road but I do expect Carolina
to win especially as Brees appears to have lost all of his arm strength.
Colts @ Steelers -7 Andrew
Luck injured and Big Ben concussed! I cannot bet this game at all but if
forced to I would grab the points.
Cowboys @Washington -4 This was
quickly bet up to four from its open of three. You cannot bet the Cowboys
with Calamitous Cassel under centre. If Washington get the ground game going
then they should take this game and if the home crowd is well into this game
then they could do it quite handily.
Broncos -4
Browns +9.5
Dolphins -4
Seahawks Pk
Texans +3.5
Enjoy the games and best of luck everybody!
Jimmy
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