Goal Rush Week Seven

Goal Rush Week Seven

11-5 is where we currently stand on both the over 2.5 goals, our primary objective, and the Yes on BTTS which approximates to a 68.75% success rate. I think we'd settle for that on an ongoing basis if we can get the balance of risk/reward correct in terms of the price levels we are able to obtain. The early season run of 9-1 was never sustainable so we look to be reverting towards a more realistic long term level of success rate.

We have three games this Saturday across a variety of different leagues within the confines of the European Union!

Slask Wroclaw v Jagiellonia Poland Ekstraklasa 230pm kick off UK Time
Yes on BTTS is 5-2 and 6-1 respectively in the sides seven league matches so far this season. The last two meetings of the teams last season the under 2.5 goals with two and one goal respectively. However, that recent bias towards low scoring games may actually have helped us get a good solid price for this game. Prior to those two low scoring games the over 2.5 goals went 7-0 and since October 2008 only two of fifteen meetings have seen less than two goals. At the current market price of 17/20 I am interested in looking at this game seeing at least three goals.


Oldham v Peterborough, English Division One 3pm kick off UK Time
Both games finished all square last season when the sides met, 1-1 in this game and 2-2 in the reverse fixture at London Road, Peterborough. BTTS has landed in the last four meetings of the sides over the past two seasons with over 2.5 goals hitting a 75% strike rate. Peterborough have conceded at least twice in each of their three away games so far this campaign whilst Oldham have found the net in each of their three home games. Over 2.5 goals are 16-10 over this season and last at Boundary Park so this market price of on or around Even money looks good value to me.

Teplice v Bohemians, Czechoslovakia First League kick off 4pm UK
All of Teplice's games this season have season at least two goals and they have scored twice themselves in four of the five. Yes on BTTS is 4-1 in Bohemians games this season and between the sides' ten total games this season over 1.5 goals has gone 9-1. Teplice won this meeting of the teams 4-1 last season and 5-1 in 2013-14 so historical trends do point to a higher than average scoring game. At a price of odds against I like the over 2.5 as some good value here. Yes on BTTS is also available at over Even money so those following these selections more for the BTTS aspect can also think about getting involved. Both are priced at odds against yet the Czech league is hitting 57% and 62% on the over 2.5 goals and Yes on BTTS respectively so far this season.


So far the stats for the season long stats for the Goal Rush are as below:

Over 1.5 goals 14-2
Over 2.5 goals 11-5
Goal Distribution 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5 and 6
BTTS 11-5 to the Yes
10 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins

　

Good luck with your bets this weekend and stake sensibly #GoalRush
Jimmy