Monday 14 September 2015

NFL Weekend Review

Weekend NFL Review


Over my years of watching the NFL if I have learnt one thing then I have learnt not to over react to what I see the very first weekend of the year. There were some really great games on show and despite not wanting to over react there were many takeaways from the Sunday offerings.

Each week the aim of this column is to give my thoughts on three of the games from the weekend where we can look to profit moving forward.

The main game on Sky saw the Bears welcome the Packers to Soldier Field and the Cheeseheads were able to win and cover against their hosts. This though was not like the two defeats the Packers handed to the Bears last season as this Chicago team under coach Fox looks set to battle and scrap. The more traditional usage of Matt Forte via the run game, as opposed to the short screens of last year, should keep them in games and ensure the clock keeps running. At first glance the under would appeal to me greatly this weekend when they host Arizona.

Marcus Mariota exploded into life as he became the first quarterback in NFL history to throw four TD passes in the first half of his NFL debut. This week he travels to Cleveland to take on what at first glance looks a hapless Browns team who were spanked 31-10 in New York. Having watched the game back though Cleveland matched the Jets for long periods and the 'Dog Pound' will be noisy for this first home game of the season. Yes Mariota won in Tampa but travelling to a more traditional hot bed of football in Ohio and against a far better defence will be a much stiffer test for him. The public love will all be for the rookie and against Cleveland. There could be some value with the home dog.

Knowing how to win games is the most important trait any NFL Headcoach can have. In some ways it sounds ridiculous when you try and articulate that to people as it sounds so bleeding obvious. However, some coaches get teams in good positions and then struggle to get them over the finishing line. You could never accuse Arizona Cardinals Headcoach Bruce Arians of not knowing how to win games. Last season he masterminded an 11-5 record in the toughest division in football basically without a quarterback for the last half of the season! With Carson Palmer now back from injury they are in a good place moving forward. I will caveat all of this though with the fact that knowing how to win games is different to helping you win bets if you have to lay points. I will be very cautious of suggesting laying more than a field goal with them as the saying goes in the NFL "just win baby". Yes they won by twelve at the weekend but I am not sure this team will destroy inferior opponents.

I went 3-2 with my 'just for fun' Supercontest picks whilst there are 64 of real contestants who went 5-0!


Hope some of this is of some use to you and feel free to hit me up @ukbettingpro


All the best
Jimmy

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