Here we go Team Goals and we have four games this weekend. Hopefully we will carry on where we left off last Saturday when we clean swept but you know me, I'd be ecstatic with a 3-1 week. So far we stand as below:
Over 0.5 goals 84-1
Over 1.5 goals 74-11
Over 2.5 goals 55-30
Over 3.5 goals 32-53
Yes on BTTS 48-36
Home wins 43 Draws 11 Away wins 31
This week sees us return to the scene of the robbery last weekend as we go back to Division One in England for three of the games. This Division is averaging a healthy 2.81 goals per game and I think we have some decent opportunities there. On Sunday we head over the water to Germany to Ze Bundesliga where we are hopeful our selection maintains the League average of 2.82 goals per game.
Chesterfield v Millwall @ 10/11 English League One, 3pm Saturday
Goal crazy Chesterfield host promotion chasing Millwall and if is game replicates the Spireites recent matches then we should see a healthy smattering of goals. Their last three games have seen no fewer than seventeen goals whilst Millwall's last four games have all gone over 2.5 goals. In fact the Lions have kept just one clean sheet in their last nine away games and over the season their thirteen away days have seen a total of forty two goals fly in. With Chesterfield high on confidence in front of goal but not having kept a clean sheet since Halloween I really like this game to get us off to a winning start.
Crewe v Wigan @ 17/20 English League One, 3pm Saturday
Wigan are comfortably odds on for this trip to Crewe and given their 10-4-1 record against the bottom half teams this season that price can be justified. However, most of that record has been assembled on home soil as they are just 3-2-1 away in this spot and have conceded seven goals in those six games. Crewe are poor against the top half, as you'd expect from a side who sit bottom of the table, but they have managed to find the back of the net in five of six games at home in this spot. With Wigan conceding five straight games I can almost call a 2-1 or 3-1 away win for Wigan here.
Sheffield United v Swindon Town @ 8/11 English League One, 3pm Saturday
There have been plenty of goals when these sides have met in recent seasons. The last two games have seen 2-0 wins for United, including a two goal margin of victory last season at Bramall Lane. The home side are 4-1-3 when playing middle third placed teams and have scored in every single game. Swindon are 2-1-6 when facing off against the top third placed teams and have conceded in every single one of those matches. So we've established that the Blades will score at least once, can we rely on Swindon to find the back of the net? Well they've scored fifteen goals in their twelve away games and have scored in nine of their last ten league matches. Give me overs!
Eintracht Frankfurt v Wolfsburg @ 8/11 German Bundesliga, 230pm Saturday
They always save the best till last! The last sixteen meetings of these two sides have seen at least two goals and over 2.5 goals has gone 12-4 in that stretch. Frankfurt are 1-2-6 against top half sides but they have at least scored twelve goals in those nine games. However to lose six games when you score a few yourself means you have to concede a lot of goals, twenty one in fact! Wolfsburg are a tidy 4-4-1 against the bottom half with twenty four total goals being scored, just over an average of 2.5 goals per game. Given this fixtures historical trends for goals I'm happy to finish the weekend off with this game as a very attractive betting option.
Well there we have it, let's hope for a 3-1 record!
All the best
Jimmy
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