Sunday Goal Rush

Sunday Goal Rush

Morning Team Goals

A 1-1 Saturday saw us make a small loss and sometimes I think I'd rather a 0-0 to do us than a game like the French one where the scoreline went 2-0 after just fifty two minutes. I suppose to lose in those circumstances, as we have several times of late, does at least show the games we are zoning in on are good games. It doesn't cash us the bet but it should give us confidence moving forward that we are getting closer to cracking it.

After Saturday's games we stand as below and once again I will mention the seemingly continuing strength of the over 1.5 goal bets. Many of these bets can be gained at prices of 1.25 or better yet are currently hitting at a rate of 87.9%

Over 0.5 goals 90-1
Over 1.5 goals 80-11
Over 2.5 goals 58-33
Over 3.5 goals 33-58
Yes on BTTS 54-37
Home wins 45 Draws 13 Away wins 33


Caen v Nice @ 11/10 French Ligue One, 1pm Kick Off UK Time
Following on from yesterday's unsuccessful dabble into this usually low scoring league we find another game that appeals at favourable odds against prices. BTTS has landed in all three of the teams' meetings this season and last season and the first game this season ended 3-2 to Caen in Nice. Both sides reside in the top half of the division and the sides' twenty one combined games in this spot have seen a total of sixty one goals, well above the 2.42 league average of goals per game. This is another game where I see the prices slightly out of sync with what the trends suggest so I am happy to back the overs at odds against.

Napoli v Empoli @ 8/13 Italy Serie A, 2pm Kick Off UK Time
When I was a kid growing up this league used to be stodgy and boring! Not anymore and when these sides have met recently there have been goals galore as in the three meetings of the sides over this season and last all have gone over 3.5 goals. Both teams have scored at least twice in each of the games as there have been two 2-2 draws and a 4-2 Empoli win. We know that Napoli will more than likely score as they have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine league games but will Empoli find the back of the net? The visitors have scored in all but one of their eleven away games this season and that blank on the road was achieved way back in September. Give me overs to land here but you may have to be patient on the Exchanges and work hard to get the best price you can.

Wolfsburg v FC Cologne @ 8/11 German Bundesliga, 230pm Kick Off UK Time
The Bundesliga is a league that has been very good to all backers of goals this season and not just ourselves here in this column. Seventeen of the last nineteen meetings of the sides dating back to October 2000 have seen two or more goals. Over 2.5 goals has hit 12-7 in those nineteen games and there has been some significant price move on this line. Overs has been backed in to 8/11 from a market wide 4/5 so although it frustrates me that we didn't get on earlier at least it seems we are on the side where the money is!


Best of luck folks and don't forget to look out for the midweek Premiership Betting Podcast with myself and @petenordsted which should be out later today.


Speak soon
Jimmy