Weekend Review

Weekend Review

Another fantastic weekend has come and gone with many takeaways for us punters moving forward.

The EPL
My major thought this weekend is that the press don't half have to make a mountain out of a mole hill. All the talk when I woke up on Sunday morning is of Manchester United and their problems. Problems? Three clean sheets in three games and seven points out of nine. For a club who are still rebuilding that isn't a bad return in my book.  Yes they could do with some more firepower and assistance for Wayne Rooney in the attacking third of the field but a solid defensive base sometimes comes at the expense of attacking flair. If seven points from three games is a problem then I'm sure a lot of other clubs would like 'problems'. Until further notice though I'm keen to trend to the unders in their games and I just can't take them giving up more than half a goal on any handicap line. This weekend they travel to Swansea who will finish below them in the table but it is a game where United will more than likely not dominate possession as Swansea's style of play rarely allows the opposition to have more ball than they do. It will be a real test for them as they will need to be clinical with their finishing as I expect even fewer chances in front of goal for them in this game.

Chelsea grabbed a much needed win at West Brom as they scrapped their way to a 3-2 victory. That's the sort of win they needed, ugly but effective. I expect them to kick on from here and next week they welcome a buoyant Crystal Palace side. Chelsea's troubles plus Palace's good start to the campaign could lead to an inflated price for the home win. There are specific reasons why I think Chelsea could exploit Palace this upcoming weekend and I will explain more later in the week

Manchester City are in cruise mode and presently they look by far the best side in the Premiership. They are trading odds on now and my thoughts are that this early in the season that should be a silly price. However, their upcoming set of fixtures suggest that by the time they travel to Old Trafford on October 25th they could be as short as 1/2 for the title. Next weekend they host Watford and then it is Crystal Palace (a), West Ham (h), Tottenham (a), Newcastle (h) and Bournemouth (h). I would never say that the title could be won by then as that is crazy talk but the fixture compilers have certainly handed them a good run of games. It may even be worth taking some of that 10/11 before tonight's game as if Arsenal do not win then they will already be five or six points behind City and desperately playing catch up.

　

Goal Rush

The Goal Rush column had mixed results at the weekend going 2-0 on Saturday and 1-1 on Sunday. Maybe I'm just expecting to win every game now as a 9-2 record ain't so bad at all is it!

Over 1.5 goals 10-1

Over 2.5 goals 9-2

Eight home wins, one draw and two away wins

Goal Distribution 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5, 5, 5 and 6

The column will be back Friday and Sunday morning so look out for the link when it's posted.


Stats Pack Review
Stats Pack subscribers had a decent weekend in Division Two. Notts County and Accrington obliged in the goals market with Yes on BTTS landing the favourite goal bet of the week. Luton were my tip for the best match bet of the week and after twenty minutes they were two up at Yeovil only to see the home side rally back and win 3-2.

Other highlights included:
Plymouth winning away at Northampton at 5/2, laying Cambridge at odds on against Crawley and the under 2.5 goals obliging in the Wycombe/Dagenham match where we warned punters not to back Wycombe at odds on. We were let down though by Exeter at home to York and two late goals in Bristol denying us the under 2.5 goal bet landing.

Monday Night Football

Monday Night Football sees a cracking game as Arsenal host Liverpool at The Emirates live on Sky Sports. At the current market price I do see some good value with siding with Liverpool +0.75 as I feel the away team will cause the Gunners plenty of defensive issues. Defending set pieces could be a real issue for Arsenal here as I see them vulnerable to the aerial threats posed by Benteke, Skrtel and Co. Petr Cech looked suspect at times last weekend at Crystal Palace and with better delivery from corners and wide areas in this game he will once again be put under the microscope. This new look Liverpool defence which is being given great midfield cover by Henderson and Milner should be disciplined enough to limit the home sides chances. Give me Liverpool on the handicap and it wouldn't surprise me at all if they nicked all three points!


Have a great week folks and if you have any questions about betting then please do not be shy and hit me up on my Twitter @ukbettingpro

All the best
Jimmy