Weekend Review
Well the bookmakers will have very full satchels this Monday morning after the weekends results in the Premiership. Chelsea and Liverpool both lost at home on Saturday at under 1/2 and many punters piled into Manchester United on Sunday to recoup their losses away to Swansea. At the final whistle at the Liberty Stadium on Sunday afternoon a Cheshire Cat smile came across the face of the bosses at the leading books. It was a bad weekend for punters who love the favourite and to be honest I didn't have the greatest of weekends in the EPL.
I liked Chelsea to cover the -1.5 and Liverpool to win straight up, although I couldn't lay one and half goals with them. The push saved me in the Man City/Watford game and Newcastle/Arsenal matches but we did limit losses with Swansea plus a quarter and the over cashing in the Sunday game.
What did we learn?
The decline at Chelsea could be real. It will be interesting to watch them in the first game after the international break and I certainly won't be backing them when they return to action at Goodison Park in a fortnight. Manchester United may not be he defensive grinding machine we thought they might might be. If Swansea had have, as I predicted they would, won the possession battle then I could accept the defeat. However, United had 64% of the ball but could not win the game. That's a startling statistic and more than startling, it's downright alarming! It's too early to say that LVG is in trouble but United fans can take slow and methodical, almost boring, build ups if victory comes at the end of the game. When it doesn't then pressure is piled on any manager at the worlds biggest club.
A 2-2 Goal Rush weekend sees parity for us and takes us to a 11-4 start on the over 2.5 goals. Next week we will have to see how deep into the Euro action we are prepared to go as the international break will see many leagues off for the weekend.
Stats Pack Review
Subscribers to the Stats Pack were richly rewarded this weekend with both of our best bets cashing. Plymouth overcame Newport 1-0 on home soil as my favoured match bet, even suggesting to back the win to nil, and Yes on BTTS landed easily in the Hartlepool/Carlisle game. Other successes included:
Accrington v Northampton - Yes on BTTS
Barnet v Cambridge - under 2.5 goals
Crawley v Wycombe - laid Wycombe
Dagenham v Stevenage - laid Stevenage
Leyton Orient v Bristol Rovers - backed Orient over Even money
Morecambe v Notts County - Yes on BTTS
Mansfield v York - laid York
There were a couple of let downs though as Oxford did win at a heavy odds on price and I liked the draw in the Luton/Portmsouth game which finished 2-1 to the visitors.
I am not a fan of the international break as it screws with the rhythm and the form lines for the Premiership. Hey ho there is nothing I can do about it so I will get back to the grind of the Division Two Stats Pack and Goal Rush for you all ready for next weekend.
All the best
Jimmy
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