Sunday 9 August 2015

Weekend Review


Weekend Round Up

What a fantastic opening weekend of football we've had and although it is very early in the season there are many interesting pieces of information that we can take forward.

Premier League
Saturday - there were five evens or odds on shots and three didn't win and then we had Arsenal letting us down yesterday. Man City are also a hefty odds on shot so will they pull it back tonight or will the odds on teams go 2-5? Be careful punters!

Over 2.5 goals has gone 5-4 so far with just tonight's game to go.

There were five Prem games with goal lines set at a miserly 2.25 and they went 3-2 to the over. Interestingly the two that went under both saw just a solitary goal so although my thoughts about almost blindly backing overs did make a profit there was no safety blanket of a half loss.

Without going through each game individually there were three glaring points that stand out to me this weekend. We will not even talk about Arsenal without Alexis Sanchez starting as I intend to write an in depth column about betting Arsenal moving forward in the next few days.

Manchester United were effective and functional in their 1-0 home victory. By looking at them I'd be wary of backing over 2.5 goals in their games until we see some evidence that they are able to create numerous chances in a game. LVG appears to have them set up well but not set up to take teams apart.

Liverpool are another team who look very solid and I see them as another team where the volume of goals in their games may regress this campaign. The addition of James Milner gives them a big lift in that important central midfield area. He and Jordan Henderson will give excellent protection to their back four whilst allowing their forward players to create. Their creativity looks not as great as in recent years but with that extra defensive solidity it doesn't need to be to win games. Yesterday's performance from the Reds may become the standard this season for them.

Norwich didn't have the rub of the green in their home defeat at the hands of Crystal Palace so it'll be interesting to watch the price moves on them this week. They have opened up a best priced 5/2 to gain all three points away at Sunderland. Given the Black Cats first half horror show at Leicester last week I'm keen to look at supporting Norwich should they drift out much further.

Goal Rush

Winners in Hungary and in the USA sees us improve to 4-0 and in over 2.5 bets for the season. I am sure that we haven't find the secret to untold riches but presently we are ticking along nicely. The next column will be published on Friday morning.


Stats Pack - http://ukbettingpro.blogspot.co.uk/2014/07/new-revamped-division-2-stats-pack.html?m=1

Great week for the main bets as we pinpointed Leyton Orient as the best value team of the week.
No on BTTS at Wycombe v York also obliged as our favourite goals bet of the day.

Other successes included suggesting Portsmouth to win to nil as good value, laying Oxford at odds on at home to Crawley and keeping the 1-1 correct score on our side in the Accrington/Luton game.
Stevenage let us down by not scoring at home to Notts County and thus the Yes on BTTS not landing whilst Morecambe's slow start cost us at Hartlepool.
All in all though a very solid first weekend for the Stats Pack with more to come for this weekends set of games.

Monday Night Football
Tonight's Monday Night Football brings the first weekend of the season to a close and it may not be an easy ride for Manchester City at the Baggies. These are the sorts of games where they struggled last season and their inability to win them cost them dear. We will learn a lot about this new look City in these ninety minutes so I won't be looking to rush in and either support or oppose them at The Hawthorns tonight.

Best of luck and speak soon
Jimmy

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