Friday 6 November 2015

Saturday Goal Rush - Amended


Goal Rush Saturday 7th November

Morning Team Goals and we have made it through to Friday. For many of you the weekend will be a welcome respite from the grind of working life but for me it tends to be an even more tense time as I wait for random goals to hit the back of the net in obscure European countries across the continent!

Last weekend we went 3-3 and that disappoints me. The aim of the column, obviously, is to make consistent profits so at the price range we drill down into we need to get a 4-2 return from six selections, or at least a 6-5 stretch over eleven games!

Updated stats are as below:
Over 0.5 goals 52-0
Over 1.5 goals 46-6
Over 2.5 goals 34-18
Over 3.5 goals 18-34
Yes on BTTS 35-17
Home wins 24 Draws 9 Away wins 19


Biel-Bienne v Wohlen @ 4/5 Swiss Challenge League, 2pm UK kick off time **SUNDAY**
This game from all my initial research was set for Saturday but I have now been advised this is now being played on Sunday, apologies! Third placed Biel-Bienne welcome relegation threatened Wohlen to the Tissot Arena in a game they must win to keep within striking distance of league leaders Lausanne Sports. The home side are undefeated in seven games on home soil this season and those games have seen a total of twenty four goals. Wohlen are not that bad on their travels considering their lowly league position as they are 1-4-2 on the road with just a total of fifteen goals being scored in those seven matches. Since May 2013 the teams have met ten times with the over 2.5 goals hitting at a rat of 90% with the only loss being the last meeting, a 2-0 win for the home team in Wohlen, just six weeks ago. With the weaker side in the match up scoring twice just six weeks ago I will take them to find the net at least once in this game as well. Give me the over 2.5 goals in this game to get us off to a flying start to this weekends Goal Rush.

FC Zurich v FC Vaduz @ 8/11 Swiss Super League, 445pm UK kick off time
Bottom placed FZ Zurich host ninth placed (there are only ten teams) FC Vaduz in a key relegation battle at the Letzigrund in Zurich this Saturday tea time. The teams’ combined twenty eight games so far this season have seen no fewer than eight five goals (over three goals per game). Admittedly Vaduz have scored just two goals on the road but against a home side who have conceded no fewer than sixteen on home soil in just six goals they will travel confident of breaching the home sides backline. If the stats for Vaduz put fear into you for this overs pick then let me give you another stat to set your mind at ease. The sides have met nine times since September 2008 and over 2.5 goals is 8-1 and those games have seen a total of forty two goals with the last three match ups, all played this year, ending 2-2. Neither side fears the other and I anticipate this being another shoot out in the Swiss capital.


Kortrijk v Mechelen @ 11/10 Belgian Jupiler League, 730pm UK kick off time
Mid table Kortrijk entertain eleventh placed Mechelen as they look to continue their unbeaten home run against a side who have not won away from home this campaign. There has been a distinct lack of goals at the Guldensporenstadion (try saying that after three beers) as only eight goals have been scored in the seven league games there this season. However, we have some strong situational trends supporting goals to fly in on Saturday. The last five meetings of the two teams have all gone over 2.5 goals and Mechelen’s seven away games this season have seen a total of twenty two goals. Despite not earning a win on their travels they have scored in their last four away trips and their seven games against top half placed sides have seen a total of twenty seven goals with them scoring in all but one. At a market price of odds against this looks a decent play to finish off our Saturday programme of games.


There we have it for Saturday’s games and I will be back late on Saturday evening for the Sunday edition of the Goal Rush.

Don't forget to check out this weekends podcast with Pete Nordsted. We chat all things Premiership as I try and haul back the huge lead Pete has built up in our H2H.

http://www.petenordsted.com/premier-league-betting-podcast-week-12/

Have a great weekend folks and apologies for the late adjustment on the first game!


Best of luck everybody!
Jimmy

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